Dtop666

0xb5d9af...ea8f11
Smart Score
35
Win Rate
50.0%
Total P&L
-$4
Trade Count
69
Sharpe Ratio
-3.83
Sortino Ratio
-2.89
Max Drawdown
0.0%
ROI
-0.4%
Profit Factor
1.51
Kelly Fraction
0.169
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
035.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL24.6¢108Mar 5
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY24.8¢108Mar 5
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL94.3¢1.61Mar 5
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL94.4¢5.297Mar 5
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL94.4¢1.494Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL14.4¢11.26Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL14.4¢45.903Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL14.4¢30.73Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY14.4¢87.9Mar 5
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL94.3¢6.6Mar 5
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY94.3¢15Mar 5
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL91.4¢21Mar 5
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY91.5¢21Mar 5
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?SELL89.9¢28Mar 5
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?BUY90.1¢28Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL85.5¢14Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY85.6¢14Mar 5
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL90.8¢31Mar 5
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY90.7¢31Mar 5
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?SELL34.0¢41Mar 5
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%7%10–20%10%20–30%10%30–50%10%50–70%7%70–80%20%80–90%37%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing35.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.94
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)32.0%
Win Consistency47.8%
Profit Factor0.92
Drawdown Resilience0.74
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.74
Weekly Sharpe est.0.56
Trading Activity69 trades · 4 active days
JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$31d profit3d loss
JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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